Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Recoleta W vs Palestino W

Chile Chile

Primera Division Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Recoleta W play Palestino W in the Primera Division Women. Palestino W are favorites here. Recently, Recoleta W averaged 0.75 goals scored and 3.18 conceded. Palestino W averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, Recoleta W won 0, Palestino W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Recoleta W and 2.50 for Palestino W. This points to a Palestino W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Recoleta W
21%
Draws
64%
Palestino W
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Palestino W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Recoleta W picked up more points recently compared to Palestino W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 2.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Recoleta W Clean Sheet 10%
Palestino W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recoleta W Palestino W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 3 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.32
Goals Conceded 3.18 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Primera Division Women
Recoleta W vs Palestino W
1:2
Jun 13, 2025 Primera Division Women
Palestino W vs Recoleta W
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Primera Division Women
Recoleta W vs Palestino W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Recoleta W Compare

Top Goalscorer Soto F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Palestino W Compare

Top Goalscorer Padron R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paillan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recoleta W 16 / 100
Palestino W 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recoleta W Palestino W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palestino W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Palestino W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Recoleta W attacking → ← attacking Palestino W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recoleta W scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Palestino W let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Recoleta W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Palestino W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 34
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
3.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo W14131058:240
2U. De Chile W14112139:1035
3U. Catolica W14110329:833
4Coquimbo W1484220:528
5U. Espanola W1373317:1224
6Palestino W1354421:1719
7Huachipato W1453614:2418
8Deportes Iquique W1442816:2214
9S. Wanderers W1433811:2212
10U. De Concepcion W1433810:2612
11Magallanes W143299:2711
12Deportes Temuco W14211111:427
13Recoleta W14101313:513