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Recreativo Huelva vs Navalcarnero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
3 - 2
06:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Peque
40' Event
Agustin P.
65' Event
Chavarria M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Recreativo Huelva
30%
Draws
31%
Navalcarnero
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Recreativo Huelva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Recreativo Huelva lately — more wins on the board than Navalcarnero.
  • Model gives Recreativo Huelva a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Recreativo Huelva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Recreativo Huelva, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Recreativo Huelva Clean Sheet 68%
Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Recreativo Huelva Navalcarnero
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2026 Copa Federacion
Recreativo Huelva vs Navalcarnero
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Recreativo Huelva Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Navalcarnero Compare

Top Goalscorer Peque
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agustin P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Recreativo Huelva 59 / 100
Navalcarnero 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Recreativo Huelva Navalcarnero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recreativo Huelva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Navalcarnero conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Recreativo Huelva scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Recreativo Huelva remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Recreativo Huelva VS Navalcarnero
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Recreativo Huelva

(Home)
01 Nov
Betis B
0 : 2
Recreativo Huelva
27 Oct
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 3
Rayo Vallecano
24 Oct
Recreativo Huelva
5 : 0
Antoniano
18 Oct
Linares
0 : 0
Recreativo Huelva
14 Oct
Recreativo Huelva
3 : 2
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

Navalcarnero

(Away)
01 Nov
Navalcarnero
3 : 1
Atletico Paso
24 Oct
Numancia
2 : 3
Navalcarnero
18 Oct
Salamanca CF UDS
1 : 1
Navalcarnero
14 Oct
Recreativo Huelva
3 : 2
Navalcarnero
11 Oct
Navalcarnero
1 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Comillas CF 3
L Hospitalet 2
CF Badalona 2
Sestao 3
AD San Juan 0
Terrassa 1
Binefar 1
Porreres 0
Santa Marta Tormes 2
Vimenor 1
Bergantinos 5
Leioa 0
Compostela 1
Derio 2
Salamanca CF UDS 3
Caudal Deportivo 2
Motril 0
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 2
UD San Pedro 0
Melilla 0
Conil 1
Sporting Ceuta 0
Dos Hermanas 9
Torrent 1
Atletico Saguntino 2
CF Talavera 0
Navalcarnero 2
UD San Fernando 1
Orihuela 3
Mensajero 1
Murcia 2
1/8-finals
Comillas CF 1
Sestao 2
Terrassa 4
Binefar 0
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Bergantinos 0
Derio 3
Salamanca CF UDS 5
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 1
Conil 1
Dos Hermanas 0
Atletico Saguntino 0
Navalcarnero 4
Orihuela 1
Murcia 4
Quarter-finals
Sestao 4
Terrassa 1
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Salamanca CF UDS 2
Recreativo Huelva 2
Conil 1
Navalcarnero 3
Murcia 1
Semi-finals
Sestao 3
Salamanca CF UDS 1
Recreativo Huelva 3
Navalcarnero 2
Final
Sestao -
Recreativo Huelva -