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Red Arrows vs NAPSA Stars

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Red Arrows in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Red Arrows.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Red Arrows
20%
Draws
40%
NAPSA Stars
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Red Arrows have won more games recently than NAPSA Stars.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Red Arrows Clean Sheet 68%
NAPSA Stars Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Arrows NAPSA Stars
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.24 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.48 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Super League
Red Arrows vs NAPSA Stars
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Red Arrows
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Super League
Red Arrows vs NAPSA Stars
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Red Arrows
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Red Arrows
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Arrows 41 / 100
NAPSA Stars 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Arrows NAPSA Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Arrows Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Red Arrows scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

NAPSA Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Red Arrows went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Red Arrows VS NAPSA Stars
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.57
50% Over 1.5 57%
13% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Arrows

(Home)
13 Sept
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
0 : 2
Red Arrows
05 Sept
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Red Arrows
20 Aug
Red Arrows
0 : 1
Power Dynamos
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NAPSA Stars

(Away)
12 Sept
Prison Leopards
2 : 1
NAPSA Stars
11 Sept
Zanaco
0 : 2
NAPSA Stars
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Konkola Blades
0 : 0
NAPSA Stars
12 May
NAPSA Stars
2 : 0
Zanaco
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