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Red Arrows vs Nkwazi Prediction & H2H Stats

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Red Arrows
20%
Draws
28%
Nkwazi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Red Arrows

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Red Arrows have won more games recently than Nkwazi.
  • Red Arrows are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Red Arrows Clean Sheet 68%
Nkwazi Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Arrows Nkwazi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 10 10
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.3 0.66
Goals Conceded 0.47 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 0.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Super League
Red Arrows vs Nkwazi
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Super League
Nkwazi vs Red Arrows
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Super League
Nkwazi vs Red Arrows
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Super League
Red Arrows vs Nkwazi
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Super League
Nkwazi vs Red Arrows
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Arrows 95 / 100
Nkwazi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Arrows Nkwazi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Arrows Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Red Arrows stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Red Arrows's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nkwazi let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Red Arrows VS Nkwazi
0.88 Goals Scored 0.67
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.67
38% Over 1.5 33%
13% Over 2.5 17%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Arrows

(Home)
04 Oct
Mutondo Stars
1 : 3
Red Arrows
20 Sept
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Red Arrows
13 Sept
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
0 : 2
Red Arrows
05 Sept
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
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Nkwazi

(Away)
03 Oct
Nkwazi
1 : 2
Roan United
24 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Nkwazi
20 May
Muza Fc
0 : 1
Nkwazi
17 May
Nkwazi
1 : 0
Kansanshi
03 May
Nkwazi
1 : 1
Zesco
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