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Red Bull Brasil vs Barretos EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Red Bull Brasil in this Paulista A3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Red Bull Brasil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Red Bull Brasil
35%
Draws
32%
Barretos EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Barretos EC have won more games recently than Red Bull Brasil.
  • Model gives Red Bull Brasil a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Red Bull Brasil Clean Sheet 20%
Barretos EC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Bull Brasil Barretos EC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 12
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.2 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2023 Paulista A3
Red Bull Brasil vs Barretos EC
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Bull Brasil 58 / 100
Barretos EC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Bull Brasil Barretos EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Bull Brasil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Red Bull Brasil found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Barretos EC let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Red Bull Brasil stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barretos EC
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Bull Brasil

(Home)
18 Mar
Red Bull Brasil
5 : 0
Barretos EC
11 Mar
Gremio Prudente
2 : 0
Red Bull Brasil
08 Mar
Capivariano
1 : 1
Red Bull Brasil
04 Mar
Red Bull Brasil
2 : 3
EC Sao Bernardo
01 Mar
Red Bull Brasil
1 : 1
Itapirense
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Barretos EC

(Away)
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Taquaritinga
2 : 0
Barretos EC
28 Mar
Barretos EC
1 : 0
Nacional SP
25 Mar
Penapolense
1 : 1
Barretos EC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 15 9 2 4 25:15 29
2 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 13:12 27
3 Capivariano 15 7 6 2 28:11 27
4 Gremio Prudente 15 7 3 5 21:16 24
5 Desportivo 15 7 3 5 14:9 24
6 EC Sao Bernardo 15 7 1 7 17:16 22
7 Uniao Suzano 15 6 3 6 21:18 21
8 Matonense 15 6 2 7 21:18 20
9 Bandeirante 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Red Bull Brasil 15 5 4 6 24:23 19
11 Rio Preto EC 15 5 4 6 15:21 19
12 Itapirense 15 4 7 4 11:17 19
13 Votuporanguense 15 4 5 6 14:19 17
14 Sertaozinho 15 5 1 9 15:26 16
15 Barretos EC 15 4 4 7 18:29 16
16 Audax-SP 15 3 3 9 8:19 12
Promotion - Paulista A3 2023 (Second stage)