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Red Lions vs Civo Utd

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Sun, Jul 5, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Red Lions play Civo Utd in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Red Lions averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Civo Utd averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. In past meetings, Red Lions won 1, Civo Utd won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Oct 16, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Red Lions and 1.06 for Civo Utd. This points to a Civo Utd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Red Lions
35%
Draws
38%
Civo Utd
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Civo Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Red Lions picked up more points recently compared to Civo Utd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 18%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Red Lions Clean Sheet 22%
Civo Utd Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Lions Civo Utd
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2023 Super League
Civo Utd vs Red Lions
0:0
Jun 24, 2023 Super League
Red Lions vs Civo Utd
1:1
Jul 24, 2022 Super League
Civo Utd vs Red Lions
2:0
May 21, 2022 Super League
Red Lions vs Civo Utd
1:1
Aug 15, 2021 Super League
Red Lions vs Civo Utd
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Lions 29 / 100
Civo Utd 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Lions Civo Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Civo Utd or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +25.1%
4.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Red Lions attacking → ← attacking Civo Utd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Red Lions scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Civo Utd let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Red Lions went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Civo Utd lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 54
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Silver Strikers852114:317
2Blue Eagles851213:816
3Big Bullets844010:616
4Mighty Wanderers FC843115:615
5Ekhaya842212:614
6Red Lions83327:612
7Masters FC840410:1012
8Moyale Barracks83328:912
9Civo Utd83236:811
10Mitundu Baptist83148:1010
11MAFCO82337:59
12Karonga United82338:119
13Chitipa United83056:129
14Creck Sporting81256:115
15Dedza Dynamos81252:145
16Kamuzu Barracks81167:144