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Red Lions vs Dedza Dynamos

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Magaleta M.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Magaleta M.
85' Event
Simbeye M.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Red Lions and Dedza Dynamos finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Red Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Red Lions
35%
Draws
35%
Dedza Dynamos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Red Lions carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Red Lions Clean Sheet 21%
Dedza Dynamos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Lions Dedza Dynamos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.73 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Super League
Red Lions vs Dedza Dynamos
3:0
Aug 27, 2023 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Red Lions
2:0
May 7, 2023 Super League
Red Lions vs Dedza Dynamos
2:1
Nov 16, 2022 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Red Lions
0:0
Jul 3, 2022 Super League
Red Lions vs Dedza Dynamos
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Red Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Magaleta M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simbeye M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Dedza Dynamos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Lions 37 / 100
Dedza Dynamos 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Lions Dedza Dynamos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dedza Dynamos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dedza Dynamos conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Red Lions has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Red Lions's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Red Lions VS Dedza Dynamos
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Lions

(Home)
05 Sept
Red Lions
0 : 0
Masters FC
22 Aug
Mighty Wanderers FC
2 : 1
Red Lions
15 Aug
Red Lions
1 : 0
Moyale Barracks
09 Aug
Red Lions
0 : 0
Kamuzu Barracks
25 Jul
Blue Eagles
3 : 2
Red Lions
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Dedza Dynamos

(Away)
23 Aug
Silver Strikers
0 : 0
Dedza Dynamos
16 Aug
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 1
Creck Sporting
08 Aug
Ekhaya
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
25 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 0
Big Bullets
19 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 2
Chitipa United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Big Bullets 15 8 6 1 20:7 30
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 14 8 5 1 26:9 29
3 Silver Strikers 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
4 Blue Eagles 14 9 1 4 22:15 28
5 Masters FC 15 6 4 5 17:16 22
6 Moyale Barracks 15 5 6 4 16:17 21
7 Chitipa United 15 6 3 6 11:16 21
8 Red Lions 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
9 Civo Utd 15 6 2 7 10:14 20
10 Mitundu Baptist 14 5 4 5 12:13 19
11 Ekhaya 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
12 Karonga United 15 3 5 7 14:23 14
13 Dedza Dynamos 14 3 5 6 9:19 14
14 MAFCO 15 3 4 8 12:17 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 15 3 3 9 15:22 12
16 Creck Sporting 15 2 4 9 11:20 10
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)