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Red Lions vs Ekhaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Red Lions host Ekhaya in the Super League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ekhaya have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Red Lions have conceded 1.28 and scored 0.72. Head-to-head, Red Lions have won 0 to Ekhaya's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 0.88) point toward Ekhaya. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Red Lions
35%
Draws
30%
Ekhaya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Red Lions haven't matched Ekhaya's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Red Lions's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Red Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Ekhaya Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Lions Ekhaya
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.72 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
Ekhaya vs Red Lions
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Lions 40 / 100
Ekhaya 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Lions Ekhaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekhaya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Red Lions went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Red Lions found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Red Lions VS Ekhaya
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Lions

(Home)
10 Oct
Mitundu Baptist
1 : 1
Red Lions
05 Sept
Red Lions
0 : 0
Masters FC
22 Aug
Mighty Wanderers FC
2 : 1
Red Lions
15 Aug
Red Lions
1 : 0
Moyale Barracks
09 Aug
Red Lions
0 : 0
Kamuzu Barracks
Page 1 of 6

Ekhaya

(Away)
10 Oct
Ekhaya
2 : 0
Kamuzu Barracks
06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0
Karonga United
22 Aug
Creck Sporting
3 : 2
Ekhaya
15 Aug
Silver Strikers
3 : 0
Ekhaya
08 Aug
Ekhaya
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Big Bullets 16 9 6 1 22:7 33
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 16 9 5 2 28:11 32
3 Blue Eagles 16 10 1 5 24:18 31
4 Silver Strikers 16 8 5 3 23:11 29
5 Chitipa United 16 7 3 6 13:16 24
6 Masters FC 16 6 4 6 17:17 22
7 Ekhaya 16 5 6 5 17:14 21
8 Red Lions 16 5 6 5 13:14 21
9 Mitundu Baptist 16 5 6 5 13:14 21
10 Moyale Barracks 16 5 6 5 17:19 21
11 Civo Utd 16 6 2 8 10:15 20
12 Dedza Dynamos 16 4 6 6 10:19 18
13 Karonga United 16 4 5 7 15:23 17
14 MAFCO 16 3 4 9 12:19 13
15 Creck Sporting 16 3 4 9 13:21 13
16 Kamuzu Barracks 16 3 3 10 15:24 12
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