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Red Star vs Moragasmulla

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Own Goal
59' Event
Dilshan C.
65' Event
Faizer F.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025 game between Red Star and Moragasmulla finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Red Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Red Star
6%
Draws
4%
Moragasmulla
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Red Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Moragasmulla haven't matched Red Star's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Red Star's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Red Star Clean Sheet 12%
Moragasmulla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Star Moragasmulla
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 11 1
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.63 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.13 4.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 4.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2025 Super League
Red Star vs Moragasmulla
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Red Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Dilshan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Faizer F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Moragasmulla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Star 83 / 100
Moragasmulla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Star Moragasmulla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moragasmulla has conceded goals in 95% of their last 20 outings.

Difficult form: Moragasmulla registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Red Star's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Red Star VS Moragasmulla
2.63 Goals Scored 1.33
2.13 Goals Conceded 4.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Star

(Home)
02 Aug
Red Star
2 : 0
Blue Star
29 Jul
UP Country Lions
4 : 0
Red Star
20 Jul
Sea Hawks
1 : 0
Red Star
06 Jul
Java Lane
1 : 0
Red Star
28 Jun
Red Star
2 : 1
Moragasmulla
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Moragasmulla

(Away)
05 Jul
Moragasmulla
0 : 8
Renown
28 Jun
Red Star
2 : 1
Moragasmulla
15 Jun
Java Lane
4 : 3
Moragasmulla
22 Dec
Blue Eagles
7 : 0
Moragasmulla
17 Dec
Moragasmulla
3 : 4
Super Sun
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saunders 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Maligawatte Youth 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 New Star 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Blue Star 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - Super League 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Renown 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
2 Java Lane 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Red Star 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 Moragasmulla 3 0 0 3 4:14 0
Promotion - Super League 2025 (Play Offs)