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Red Star vs Nancy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Bauer, Paris - Saint-Ouen
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Housni I.
Assist: Basilio E.
30' Event
Magnin T.
Assist: Kyeremeh G.
31'
Renel S.

AI Match Summary

Nancy in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nancy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Red Star
15%
Draws
57%
Nancy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nancy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Red Star have won more games recently than Nancy.
  • Nancy are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Red Star Clean Sheet 16%
Nancy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Star Nancy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2026 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Nancy
1:4
Feb 13, 2026 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Nancy
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Red Star
0:1
Mar 22, 2024 Ligue 3
Red Star vs Nancy
1:1
Oct 11, 2023 Ligue 3
Nancy vs Red Star
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Red Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnin T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Nancy Compare

Top Goalscorer Housni I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Star 19 / 100
Nancy 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Star Nancy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nancy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Red Star's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Nancy has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Red Star remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Red Star VS Nancy
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Star

(Home)
02 Nov
Red Star
1 : 4
Nancy
26 Oct
Montpellier
2 : 1
Red Star
17 Oct
Red Star
0 : 1
St Etienne
10 Oct
Clermont
2 : 3
Red Star
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
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Nancy

(Away)
02 Nov
Red Star
1 : 4
Nancy
23 Oct
Nancy
1 : 0
Laval
16 Oct
Annecy
1 : 2
Nancy
09 Oct
Nancy
1 : 0
Guingamp
02 Oct
Saarbrucken
2 : 1
Nancy
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 11 8 1 2 23:11 25
2 Montpellier 11 7 3 1 16:6 24
3 Nancy 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
4 Reims 11 5 6 0 22:12 21
5 Pau 11 6 2 3 16:11 20
6 Red Star 11 5 2 4 14:16 17
7 Annecy 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
8 Dijon 11 4 3 4 20:19 15
9 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 16:15 14
10 Metz 11 3 5 3 17:17 14
11 Rodez 11 4 1 6 17:22 13
12 Dunkerque 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 Sochaux 11 2 5 4 8:14 11
14 Boulogne 11 1 7 3 7:8 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
16 Laval 11 2 3 6 14:21 9
17 Clermont 11 0 8 3 10:15 8
18 Grenoble 11 2 2 7 10:20 8
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)