Sport Picks

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Red Star vs Renown

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kurukulasuriyage D.
35' Event
Rahman M.
(Penalty)
54' Event
Aman M.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2021 game between Red Star and Renown finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Red Star
6%
Draws
90%
Renown
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Renown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Renown come out ahead of Red Star on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Renown taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Red Star Clean Sheet 12%
Renown Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Star Renown
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Super League
Renown vs Red Star
1:2
Dec 17, 2021 Super League
Red Star vs Renown
1:3
Dec 22, 2018 Super League
Renown vs Red Star
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Red Star Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Renown Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurukulasuriyage D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aman M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Star 10 / 100
Renown 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Star Renown

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Red Star scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Renown conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Red Star went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Red Star VS Renown
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%