Sport Picks

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Red Star vs Renown

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kurukulasuriyage D.
35' Event
Rahman M.
(Penalty)
54' Event
Aman M.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2021 game between Red Star and Renown finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Red Star
35%
Draws
23%
Renown
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Red Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Renown come out ahead of Red Star on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Red Star taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Red Star Clean Sheet 10%
Renown Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Red Star Renown
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.93 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Super League
Renown vs Red Star
0:0
Jun 14, 2025 Super League
Renown vs Red Star
1:2
Dec 17, 2021 Super League
Red Star vs Renown
1:3
Dec 22, 2018 Super League
Renown vs Red Star
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Red Star Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Renown Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurukulasuriyage D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aman M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Red Star 74 / 100
Renown 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Red Star Renown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Red Star has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Red Star found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Renown's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Red Star VS Renown
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Red Star

(Home)
30 Aug
Red Star
5 : 1
Defenders FC
24 Aug
Red Star
1 : 0
Blue Eagles
15 Aug
Renown
0 : 0
Red Star
08 Aug
Red Star
3 : 3
New Young's SC
02 Aug
Red Star
2 : 0
Blue Star
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Renown

(Away)
04 Sept
Blue Eagles
2 : 0
Renown
29 Aug
Blue Star
2 : 3
Renown
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
15 Aug
Renown
0 : 0
Red Star
07 Aug
Colombo
0 : 0
Renown
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