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Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Johnson L.
54' Event
Boyes A.
56' Event
Fletcher O.

AI Match Summary

Redcar Athletic in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Redcar Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Redcar Athletic
15%
Draws
40%
Alfreton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Redcar Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Redcar Athletic haven't matched Alfreton's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Redcar Athletic taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Redcar Athletic Clean Sheet 20%
Alfreton Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redcar Athletic Alfreton
Matches Played 19 27
Wins 9 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redcar Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boyes A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Alfreton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redcar Athletic 36 / 100
Alfreton 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redcar Athletic Alfreton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Redcar Athletic found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (19 games).

Alfreton let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Redcar Athletic remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Redcar Athletic VS Alfreton
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Redcar Athletic

(Home)
26 Sept
FC Guisborough Town
0 : 1
Redcar Athletic
22 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 1
Redcar Athletic
19 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 2
Macclesfield
12 Sept
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2
Leek Town
05 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 0
Stocksbridge
Page 1 of 4

Alfreton

(Away)
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0
Guiseley
26 Sept
Alfreton
2 : 1
Shifnal Town
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Alfreton
05 Sept
Alfreton
0 : 2
Stratford
31 Aug
Whitby
1 : 4
Alfreton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 10 7 2 1 25:6 23
2 Avro 9 7 1 1 28:16 22
3 Redcar Athletic 10 6 4 0 19:7 22
4 Guiseley 10 6 1 3 22:11 19
5 Workington 10 6 1 3 20:16 19
6 Warrington Town 9 5 2 2 18:14 17
7 Bury FC 9 5 1 3 19:8 16
8 Curzon Ashton 9 5 1 3 18:10 16
9 Warrington Rylands 10 5 1 4 13:13 16
10 Alfreton 10 5 0 5 16:10 15
11 Gainsborough 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
12 Lancaster 10 4 1 5 11:18 13
13 Whitby 10 4 0 6 15:26 12
14 Ashton United 9 3 2 4 10:9 11
15 Hyde 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
16 AFC Emley 10 2 4 4 9:18 10
17 Leek Town 10 2 3 5 19:20 9
18 Bamber Bridge 10 2 3 5 14:27 9
19 Stockton 10 2 2 6 13:20 8
20 Ilkeston 10 2 1 7 6:22 7
21 Quorn 9 1 3 5 12:23 6
22 United of Manchester 9 1 2 6 12:19 5
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