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Redcar Athletic vs Leek Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Campbell H.
36' Event
Campbell H.
45' Event
Boyes A.

AI Match Summary

Redcar Athletic in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Redcar Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Redcar Athletic
15%
Draws
32%
Leek Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Redcar Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Redcar Athletic have won more games recently than Leek Town.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Redcar Athletic taking it.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Redcar Athletic Clean Sheet 13%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redcar Athletic Leek Town
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Redcar Athletic vs Leek Town
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redcar Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyes A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Leek Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redcar Athletic 48 / 100
Leek Town 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redcar Athletic Leek Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redcar Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redcar Athletic found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (26 games).

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Leek Town let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Redcar Athletic stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Redcar Athletic VS Leek Town
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Redcar Athletic

(Home)
31 Oct
Redcar Athletic
2 : 2
Guiseley
24 Oct
Ashton United
1 : 0
Redcar Athletic
17 Oct
Ashton United
1 : 2
Redcar Athletic
13 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Avro
10 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 5
Redcar Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Leek Town

(Away)
03 Nov
Guiseley
4 : 1
Leek Town
31 Oct
Curzon Ashton
2 : 1
Leek Town
27 Oct
Bury FC
5 : 3
Leek Town
24 Oct
Leek Town
4 : 1
Bootle
17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2
Leek Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 16 10 5 1 35:15 35
2 Cleethorpes 15 10 3 2 32:9 33
3 Guiseley 15 10 2 3 33:15 32
4 Curzon Ashton 16 10 1 5 30:18 31
5 Gainsborough 16 9 2 5 32:21 29
6 Avro 16 9 2 5 39:30 29
7 Workington 16 8 3 5 28:26 27
8 Warrington Rylands 15 8 2 5 27:22 26
9 Warrington Town 16 7 5 4 28:24 26
10 Bury FC 14 7 2 5 30:18 23
11 Alfreton 17 7 2 8 23:22 23
12 Quorn 16 5 6 5 31:32 21
13 Lancaster 17 6 3 8 20:29 21
14 AFC Emley 17 5 5 7 19:28 20
15 Whitby 16 6 1 9 22:42 19
16 Stockton 16 4 3 9 23:28 15
17 Hyde 16 4 3 9 15:30 15
18 Ashton United 16 3 5 8 18:21 14
19 Leek Town 16 3 5 8 31:37 14
20 Ilkeston 16 4 1 11 11:34 13
21 United of Manchester 16 2 6 8 20:27 12
22 Bamber Bridge 16 2 5 9 18:37 11
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