Sport Picks

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Redcar Athletic vs Leek Town

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Campbell H.
36' Event
Campbell H.
45' Event
Boyes A.

AI Match Summary

Redcar Athletic in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Redcar Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Redcar Athletic
20%
Draws
19%
Leek Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Redcar Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Leek Town have won more games recently than Redcar Athletic.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Redcar Athletic taking it.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Redcar Athletic Clean Sheet 13%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redcar Athletic Leek Town
Matches Played 16 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.56 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Redcar Athletic vs Leek Town
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redcar Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyes A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Leek Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redcar Athletic 48 / 100
Leek Town 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redcar Athletic Leek Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redcar Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Redcar Athletic remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Redcar Athletic scored in 75% of their last 16 games.

Leek Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Redcar Athletic VS Leek Town
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Redcar Athletic

(Home)
12 Sept
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2
Leek Town
05 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 0
Stocksbridge
31 Aug
Stockton
0 : 2
Redcar Athletic
29 Aug
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2
United of Manchester
25 Aug
Redcar Athletic
0 : 0
AFC Emley
Page 1 of 4

Leek Town

(Away)
12 Sept
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2
Leek Town
05 Sept
Sporting Khalsa
0 : 5
Leek Town
01 Sept
Leek Town
1 : 2
Warrington Town
29 Aug
Workington
3 : 2
Leek Town
26 Aug
Avro
4 : 4
Leek Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 9 7 1 1 24:5 22
2 Avro 9 7 1 1 28:16 22
3 Redcar Athletic 9 6 3 0 18:6 21
4 Guiseley 9 6 1 2 22:10 19
5 Warrington Town 9 5 2 2 18:14 17
6 Bury FC 9 5 1 3 19:8 16
7 Curzon Ashton 9 5 1 3 18:10 16
8 Workington 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
9 Gainsborough 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
10 Warrington Rylands 9 4 1 4 12:13 13
11 Alfreton 9 4 0 5 15:10 12
12 Whitby 9 4 0 5 14:24 12
13 Ashton United 9 3 2 4 10:9 11
14 Hyde 9 3 2 4 10:17 11
15 AFC Emley 9 2 4 3 8:15 10
16 Lancaster 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
17 Bamber Bridge 10 2 3 5 14:27 9
18 Stockton 10 2 2 6 13:20 8
19 Ilkeston 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
20 Leek Town 9 1 3 5 17:19 6
21 Quorn 9 1 3 5 12:23 6
22 United of Manchester 9 1 2 6 12:19 5
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