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Redditch vs Needham Market

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Cowling M.
61' Event
Sumnall J.
71' Event
Bishop A.

AI Match Summary

Redditch in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Redditch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Redditch
35%
Draws
20%
Needham Market
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Redditch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Redditch at 1.64 per game, Needham Market at 1.46.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Redditch taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Redditch Clean Sheet 17%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redditch Needham Market
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.64 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Redditch vs Needham Market
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Redditch
2:1
Apr 27, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Redditch vs Needham Market
3:0
Mar 19, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Redditch
3:0
Mar 14, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Redditch
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redditch Compare

Top Goalscorer Sumnall J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bishop A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Needham Market Compare

Top Goalscorer Cowling M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redditch 84 / 100
Needham Market 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redditch Needham Market

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redditch found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Redditch went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Needham Market let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Redditch VS Needham Market
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Redditch

(Home)
08 Aug
Redditch
1 : 1
Leighton Town
27 Jul
Redditch
3 : 1
Coventry United
11 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 2
Redditch
07 Jul
Evesham
1 : 2
Redditch
25 Apr
Redditch
5 : 0
Quorn
Page 1 of 6

Needham Market

(Away)
08 Aug
Needham Market
1 : 3
Bromsgrove
24 Jul
Felixstowe & Walton
1 : 1
Needham Market
25 Apr
Needham Market
0 : 2
Banbury
18 Apr
Quorn
2 : 2
Needham Market
15 Apr
Stourbridge
0 : 1
Needham Market
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)