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Redeyef vs Ariana

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Louhichi A.
18' Event
Jdidi Y.
71' Event
Louhichi A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Redeyef
35%
Draws
32%
Ariana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Redeyef average 1.04 goals a game right now, well clear of Ariana's 0.9.
  • Redeyef are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Redeyef Clean Sheet 68%
Ariana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redeyef Ariana
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.04 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Redeyef vs Ariana
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Ligue 2
Ariana vs Redeyef
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redeyef Compare

Top Goalscorer Jdidi Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Touzri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ariana Compare

Top Goalscorer Louhichi A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redeyef 50 / 100
Ariana 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redeyef Ariana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redeyef Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Redeyef scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Ariana conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Redeyef has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Redeyef VS Ariana
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Redeyef

(Home)
12 May
PS Sakiet Eddaier
5 : 0
Redeyef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0
Kasserine
28 Apr
Kalaa
2 : 2
Redeyef
19 Apr
Redeyef
2 : 3
Moknine
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0
Redeyef
Page 1 of 6

Ariana

(Away)
16 Aug
Club Africain
2 : 0
Ariana
12 May
Moknine
1 : 1
Ariana
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1
Gafsa
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0
Ariana
19 Apr
Ariana
3 : 0
Sidi Bouzid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)