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Redeyef vs Ariana

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Louhichi A.
18' Event
Jdidi Y.
71' Event
Louhichi A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Redeyef
35%
Draws
32%
Ariana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • Redeyef have won more games recently than Ariana.
  • Redeyef are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Redeyef Clean Sheet 19%
Ariana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redeyef Ariana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Redeyef vs Ariana
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Ligue 2
Ariana vs Redeyef
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redeyef Compare

Top Goalscorer Jdidi Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Touzri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ariana Compare

Top Goalscorer Louhichi A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redeyef 42 / 100
Ariana 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redeyef Ariana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Redeyef scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Ariana conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Redeyef has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Redeyef VS Ariana
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Redeyef

(Home)
12 May
PS Sakiet Eddaier
5 : 0
Redeyef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0
Kasserine
28 Apr
Kalaa
2 : 2
Redeyef
19 Apr
Redeyef
2 : 3
Moknine
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0
Redeyef
Page 1 of 6

Ariana

(Away)
12 May
Moknine
1 : 1
Ariana
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1
Gafsa
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0
Ariana
19 Apr
Ariana
3 : 0
Sidi Bouzid
11 Apr
Korba
1 : 0
Ariana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)