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Redlands vs Broadbeach Utd.

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Compass Grounds
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Peck W.
Own Goal
43' Event
De Vita P.
55' Event
Mitchell E.

AI Match Summary

Broadbeach Utd. in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Broadbeach Utd..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Redlands
40%
Draws
29%
Broadbeach Utd.
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Broadbeach Utd. lately — more wins on the board than Redlands.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Redlands Clean Sheet 10%
Broadbeach Utd. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redlands Broadbeach Utd.
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 19
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 2.25 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Redlands
2:0
Mar 1, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Broadbeach Utd.
1:4
Jun 15, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Broadbeach Utd.
2:2
May 10, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Redlands
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redlands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Broadbeach Utd. Compare

Top Goalscorer De Vita P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mitchell E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redlands 30 / 100
Broadbeach Utd. 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redlands Broadbeach Utd.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Redlands scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Broadbeach Utd. has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Redlands remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Redlands VS Broadbeach Utd.
2.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadbeach Utd.18144047:1646
2Brisbane Strikers18143144:1445
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1885536:2429
4Robina City1884630:2028
5Ipswich1884629:2728
6Caboolture1883735:3127
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
9Logan Lightning1872933:3523
10North Star18331216:3712
11St. George Willawong18311410:4110
12Capalaba FC18221417:518