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Redlands vs North Star

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Compass Grounds, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Balarezo J.
27' Event
Own Goal
40' Event
Hitchcock N.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Redlands and North Star finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Redlands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Redlands
35%
Draws
41%
North Star
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: North Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • North Star haven't matched Redlands's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Redlands taking it.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Redlands here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Redlands Clean Sheet 20%
North Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redlands North Star
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.9 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs Redlands
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs North Star
5:0
Aug 18, 2012 Brisbane Premier League
Redlands vs North Star
7:3
May 12, 2012 Brisbane Premier League
North Star vs Redlands
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Balarezo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hitchcock N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

North Star Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redlands 36 / 100
North Star 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redlands North Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redlands scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

North Star let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.75 goals as a typical output.

Redlands went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Redlands VS North Star
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Redlands

(Home)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Brisbane Strikers
3 : 0
Redlands
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2
Caboolture
19 Jul
Robina City
1 : 1
Redlands
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
Page 1 of 6

North Star

(Away)
15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1
Caboolture
09 Aug
North Star
1 : 0
Robina City
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0
Capalaba FC
18 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 2
North Star
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)