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Redlands vs North Star

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Compass Grounds
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Redlands play North Star in the Queensland Premier League. Redlands are favorites here. Recently, Redlands averaged 1.83 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. North Star averaged 1.31 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Redlands won 4, North Star won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Redlands and 1.56 for North Star. This points to a Redlands double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Redlands
15%
Draws
28%
North Star
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Redlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Redlands picked up more points recently compared to North Star.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Redlands Clean Sheet 15%
North Star Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redlands North Star
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.83 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs Redlands
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs North Star
5:0
Aug 18, 2012 Brisbane Premier League
Redlands vs North Star
7:3
May 12, 2012 Brisbane Premier League
North Star vs Redlands
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Balarezo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hitchcock N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

North Star Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redlands 54 / 100
North Star 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redlands North Star

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redlands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Redlands & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Redlands attacking → ← attacking North Star

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redlands scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

North Star let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.75 goals.

Redlands went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

North Star lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 25
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadbeach Utd.18144047:1646
2Brisbane Strikers17133142:1442
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1785436:2229
4Robina City1884630:2028
5Ipswich1884629:2728
6Caboolture1883735:3127
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
9Logan Lightning1872933:3523
10North Star18331216:3712
11St. George Willawong18311410:4110
12Capalaba FC18221417:518