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Redlands vs Robina City

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Compass Grounds
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Redlands play Robina City in the Queensland Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Redlands averaged 1.86 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Robina City averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, Redlands won 0, Robina City won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Redlands and 1.75 for Robina City. This points to a Robina City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Redlands
26%
Draws
40%
Robina City
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Robina City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Redlands picked up more points recently compared to Robina City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Redlands Clean Sheet 12%
Robina City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redlands Robina City
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.86 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Robina City
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Balarezo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fukuda R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Robina City Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornish B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redlands 33 / 100
Robina City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redlands Robina City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Robina City or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Redlands attacking → ← attacking Robina City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redlands scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Robina City let in goals in 59% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Redlands went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Robina City lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 25
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadbeach Utd.17143046:1545
2Brisbane Strikers17133142:1442
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1785436:2229
4Ipswich1784527:2428
5Caboolture1782734:3026
6Robina City1774628:2025
7Redlands1773734:3124
8Holland Park Hawks1772829:3323
9Logan Lightning1762930:3320
10North Star17321216:3711
11St. George Willawong17311310:3910
12Capalaba FC17211416:507