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Redlands vs St. George Willawong

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Compass Grounds
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Medeiros S.
55' Event
Thompson L.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Redlands and St. George Willawong finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. George Willawong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Redlands
6%
Draws
4%
St. George Willawong
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Redlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Redlands come out ahead of St. George Willawong on wins alone.
  • Model gives Redlands a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Redlands Clean Sheet 16%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Redlands St. George Willawong
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 2.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Redlands
0:3
Mar 6, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs St. George Willawong
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Redlands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

St. George Willawong Compare

Top Goalscorer Medeiros S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thompson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Redlands 84 / 100
St. George Willawong 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Redlands St. George Willawong

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redlands found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: St. George Willawong conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Redlands stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Redlands VS St. George Willawong
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadbeach Utd.18144047:1646
2Brisbane Strikers18143144:1445
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1885536:2429
4Robina City1884630:2028
5Ipswich1884629:2728
6Caboolture1883735:3127
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
9Logan Lightning1872933:3523
10North Star18331216:3712
11St. George Willawong18311410:4110
12Capalaba FC18221417:518