Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Referencia U20 Logo

Referencia U20

1 - 0
FT
Sfera U20 Logo

Sfera U20

Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Freitas P.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Referencia U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Referencia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Referencia U20
15%
Draws
42%
Sfera U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Referencia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Sfera U20 have won more games recently than Referencia U20.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Referencia U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Sfera U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Referencia U20 Sfera U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.2 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Paulista U20
Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Referencia U20 36 / 100
Sfera U20 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Referencia U20 Sfera U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sfera U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Referencia U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sfera U20 conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Referencia U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Referencia U20 VS Sfera U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Referencia U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Referencia U20
2 : 0
Maua FC U20
04 Sept
Tanabi U20
0 : 2
Referencia U20
21 Aug
Referencia U20
0 : 2
Palmeiras U20
14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0
Sfera U20
11 Aug
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1
Referencia U20
Page 1 of 6

Sfera U20

(Away)
09 Oct
Sfera U20
2 : 1
Guarani U20
25 Sept
Sfera U20
2 : 0
Piracicaba U20
18 Sept
Piracicaba U20
1 : 0
Sfera U20
12 Sept
Palmeiras U20
3 : 0
Sfera U20
04 Sept
Sfera U20
5 : 2
Ituano U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)