Sport Picks
Match Events
77'
77'
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Referencia U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Referencia U20.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sfera U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sfera U20 have won more games recently than Referencia U20.
- Win probability leans Sfera U20's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Referencia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Sfera U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Referencia U20 | Sfera U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Paulista U20
Referencia U20 vs Sfera U20
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Referencia U20 10 / 100
Sfera U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Referencia U20 Sfera U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sfera U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Referencia U20 scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Sfera U20 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Referencia U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Referencia U20 VS Sfera U20
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Referencia U20
(Home) 14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0 Sfera U20
11 Aug
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1 Referencia U20
07 Aug
Osasco Audax U20
3 : 0 Referencia U20
31 Jul
Referencia U20
0 : 1 Guarani U20
26 Jul
Porto Football U20
0 : 1 Referencia U20
Page 1 of 7
14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0 Sfera U20
31 Jul
Referencia U20
0 : 1 Guarani U20
05 Jul
Referencia U20
1 : 4 Bragantino U20
26 Jun
Referencia U20
1 : 2 Gremio Prudente U20
05 Jun
Referencia U20
1 : 2 Agua Santa U20
Page 1 of 4
Sfera U20
(Away) 14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0 Sfera U20
07 Aug
Sfera U20
2 : 1 XV de Jau U20
31 Jul
Agua Santa U20
1 : 3 Sfera U20
24 Jul
Sfera U20
0 : 1 Osasco Audax U20
17 Jul
Tanabi U20
0 : 3 Sfera U20
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0 Sfera U20
31 Jul
Agua Santa U20
1 : 3 Sfera U20
17 Jul
Tanabi U20
0 : 3 Sfera U20
03 Jul
Guarani U20
2 : 0 Sfera U20
14 Jun
Porto Football U20
0 : 1 Sfera U20
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corinthians U20 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24:1 | 28 |
| 2 | Santos U20 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 3 | Portuguesa U20 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | 20 |
| 4 | CA Juventus U20 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 5 | Ferroviaria U20 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:8 | 18 |
| 6 | Jabaquara U20 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:10 | 13 |
| 7 | Sertaozinho U20 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Portuguesa Santista U20 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 9 | Ponte Preta U20 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:23 | 11 |
| 10 | Itapirense U20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 12:21 | 9 |
| 11 | America SP U20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 12 | Sao Bento U20 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 8 |
| 13 | Uniao Suzano U20 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | 8 |
| 14 | Mirassol U20 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 7 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ibrachina U20 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27:6 | 27 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo U20 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17:4 | 21 |
| 3 | Desportivo U20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting U20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:13 | 17 |
| 5 | Novorizontino U20 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Piracicaba U20 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 11:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Paulinense U20 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Santo Andre U20 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 15 |
| 9 | Botafogo SP U20 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 10 | Bandeirante U20 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 11 | EC Sao Bernardo U20 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:16 | 11 |
| 12 | Uniao Sao Joao U20 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 13 | Sao Caetano U20 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Velo Clube U20 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6:15 | 10 |
| 15 | Aguai U20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:34 | 8 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bragantino U20 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 46:7 | 30 |
| 2 | Palmeiras U20 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:6 | 26 |
| 3 | Guarani U20 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 17:8 | 24 |
| 4 | Sfera U20 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 22:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Osasco Audax U20 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Agua Santa U20 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 7 | Capivariano U20 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Flamengo SP U20 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | 14 |
| 9 | XV de Jau U20 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 10 | Gremio Prudente U20 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | 11 |
| 11 | Ituano U20 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:19 | 11 |
| 12 | Maua FC U20 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7:21 | 9 |
| 13 | Tanabi U20 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 14 | Referencia U20 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 15 | Porto Football U20 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4:20 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)
