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Regar-TadAZ vs Barkchi Hisor Prediction & H2H Stats

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Regar-TadAZ host Barkchi Hisor in the Vysshaya Liga. This has Regar-TadAZ written all over it on paper. Regar-TadAZ have averaged 1.3 scored and 0.82 conceded recently, against Barkchi Hisor's 1.28 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Regar-TadAZ have won 3 to Barkchi Hisor's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 1:4. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Regar-TadAZ to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Regar-TadAZ
35%
Draws
31%
Barkchi Hisor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Regar-TadAZ lately — more wins on the board than Barkchi Hisor.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Regar-TadAZ Clean Sheet 20%
Barkchi Hisor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Regar-TadAZ Barkchi Hisor
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Regar-TadAZ
1:4
Jun 14, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Barkchi Hisor
0:0
Mar 10, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Regar-TadAZ
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Barkchi Hisor
0:0
May 18, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Barkchi Hisor vs Regar-TadAZ
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Regar-TadAZ 31 / 100
Barkchi Hisor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Regar-TadAZ Barkchi Hisor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Regar-TadAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Regar-TadAZ has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Regar-TadAZ's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Barkchi Hisor let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Regar-TadAZ VS Barkchi Hisor
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Regar-TadAZ

(Home)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
12 Aug
Maziya
0 : 3
Regar-TadAZ
Page 1 of 7

Barkchi Hisor

(Away)
16 Sept
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 0
Sardor Tursunzoda
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
14 Aug
Eskhata
2 : 2
Barkchi Hisor
31 Jul
Barkchi Hisor
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
27 Jun
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 2
Vakhsh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)