Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Regar-TadAZ vs Khosilot Parkhar

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Regar-TadAZ and Khosilot Parkhar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Regar-TadAZ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Regar-TadAZ
20%
Draws
40%
Khosilot Parkhar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Khosilot Parkhar haven't matched Regar-TadAZ's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Regar-TadAZ Clean Sheet 20%
Khosilot Parkhar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Regar-TadAZ Khosilot Parkhar
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 20 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.36 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Regar-TadAZ
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Khosilot Parkhar
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Regar-TadAZ
2:3
May 18, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Khosilot Parkhar
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Khosilot Parkhar
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Regar-TadAZ 31 / 100
Khosilot Parkhar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Regar-TadAZ Khosilot Parkhar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Regar-TadAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khosilot Parkhar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Regar-TadAZ stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Regar-TadAZ's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Regar-TadAZ VS Khosilot Parkhar
2 Goals Scored 3
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Regar-TadAZ

(Home)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
12 Aug
Maziya
0 : 3
Regar-TadAZ
Page 1 of 8

Khosilot Parkhar

(Away)
15 Sept
Khosilot Parkhar
2 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0
Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
14 Aug
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
02 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
5 : 2
Istaravshan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)