Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 Dolen Omurzakov Stadium, Bishkek

Regar-TadAZ

1 - 2

Safa

Our Tip

Match Events

Panzhiev O.

33'

Sub

Sharafeddine H. In: Sawaya A.

Out: Sharafeddine H.

36'

Sub

Mhana H. In: Kassas M.

Out: Mhana H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Safa in this AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Safa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Regar-TadAZ

20%

Draws

40%

Safa

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Safa average 1.43 goals a game right now, well clear of Regar-TadAZ's 1.3.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Safa here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Regar-TadAZ Clean Sheet 68%

Safa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Regar-TadAZ	Safa
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	15
Draws	8	5
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	1.3	1.43
Goals Conceded	0.83	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.20	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2025 AFC Challenge League

Regar-TadAZ vs Safa

1:2

Apr 24, 2013 AFC Cup

Regar-TadAZ vs Safa

2:3

Mar 5, 2013 AFC Cup

Safa vs Regar-TadAZ

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Regar-TadAZ Compare

Top Goalscorer Panzhiev O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.6

Safa Compare

Top Goalscorer Shwayekh H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Camara T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Regar-TadAZ 41 / 100

Safa 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Regar-TadAZ Safa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Regar-TadAZ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Defensive concern: Safa conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Regar-TadAZ went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Regar-TadAZ scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Regar-TadAZ VS Safa

2 Goals Scored 2

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.71

63% Over 1.5 86%

63% Over 2.5 71%

38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Regar-TadAZ

(Home)

08 Sept

Regar-TadAZ

0 : 0

Khujand

30 Aug

Khosilot Parkhar

1 : 0

Regar-TadAZ

18 Aug

Regar-TadAZ

3 : 0

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov

12 Aug

Maziya

0 : 3

Regar-TadAZ

02 Aug

Regar-TadAZ

1 : 0

Istiqlol Dushanbe

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Safa

(Away)

03 Jul

Safa

4 : 0

Al-Mabarrah

28 Jun

Jwayya SC

1 : 1

Safa

24 Jun

Al Ahed

4 : 1

Safa

20 Jun

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

2 : 4

Safa

12 Jun

Al Sahel

0 : 1

Safa

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