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Regensburg vs Duisburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Jahnstadion Regensburg, Regensburg
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Lobinger L.
30'
Sussek P.
32'
Bauer B.

AI Match Summary

Duisburg in this 3. Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Duisburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Regensburg
20%
Draws
69%
Duisburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Duisburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Duisburg lately — more wins on the board than Regensburg.
  • Model gives Duisburg a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Regensburg Duisburg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 3. Liga
Regensburg vs Duisburg
1:2
Jan 24, 2026 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Regensburg
2:0
Aug 10, 2025 3. Liga
Regensburg vs Duisburg
0:4
Feb 4, 2024 3. Liga
Duisburg vs Regensburg
0:1
Sep 3, 2023 3. Liga
Regensburg vs Duisburg
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Regensburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Hermes L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Duisburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Remmert P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fleckstein T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Regensburg 10 / 100
Duisburg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Regensburg Duisburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duisburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Regensburg scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Duisburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Regensburg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Regensburg VS Duisburg
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Regensburg

(Home)
01 Oct
Regensburg
0 : 6
Tirol
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart II
3 : 3
Regensburg
15 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Dusseldorf
12 Sept
Alemannia Aachen
2 : 2
Regensburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Duisburg
Page 1 of 6

Duisburg

(Away)
20 Sept
Wehen
1 : 4
Duisburg
15 Sept
Duisburg
2 : 1
TSV Havelse
12 Sept
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Duisburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Duisburg
29 Aug
Duisburg
3 : 0
Wurzburger Kickers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 7 6 0 1 19:7 18
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
4 Saarbrucken 7 4 1 2 19:12 13
5 Hoffenheim II 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Hansa Rostock 7 3 3 1 15:15 12
7 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
8 Preussen Munster 7 3 2 2 12:13 11
9 Mannheim 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
10 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
12 Fortuna Koln 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
13 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
15 VfB Stuttgart II 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
16 Wurzburger Kickers 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
17 Meppen 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
18 Regensburg 7 1 2 4 13:17 5
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 7 1 1 5 10:15 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)