Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Regensburg vs Ulm

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Worner M.
27'
Sub
Goller B. In: Golz M.
Out: Goller B.
46'
Sub
Wurm L. In: Karbstein M.
Out: Wurm L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Regensburg and Ulm finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Regensburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Regensburg
15%
Draws
28%
Ulm
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Regensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Regensburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Regensburg taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Regensburg Clean Sheet 12%
Ulm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Regensburg Ulm
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.72 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Regensburg vs Ulm
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 3. Liga
Regensburg vs Ulm
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 3. Liga
Ulm vs Regensburg
2:1
Jan 26, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Ulm vs Regensburg
5:1
Aug 9, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Regensburg vs Ulm
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Regensburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Worner M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ulm Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Regensburg 83 / 100
Ulm 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Regensburg Ulm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Regensburg found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Regensburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Regensburg VS Ulm
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Regensburg

(Home)
08 Aug
FC Viktoria Koln
2 : 5
Regensburg
01 Aug
Regensburg
1 : 0
Ulm
25 Jul
Stutt. Kickers
1 : 2
Regensburg
15 Jul
Regensburg
2 : 3
Vilzing
09 Jul
Unterhaching
0 : 2
Regensburg
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Ulm

(Away)
07 Aug
Stutt. Kickers
4 : 2
Ulm
01 Aug
Regensburg
1 : 0
Ulm
25 Jul
Ulm
0 : 4
VfB Stuttgart II
19 Jul
Ulm
3 : 1
Bayern II
14 Jul
Ulm
2 : 1
Augsburg II
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