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Reggiana vs Spezia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Mateju A.
32'
Capolupo S.
34'
Battistini M.

AI Match Summary

Spezia in this Serie C - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spezia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Reggiana
15%
Draws
58%
Spezia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spezia lately — more wins on the board than Reggiana.
  • Model gives Spezia a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Reggiana Clean Sheet 12%
Spezia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reggiana Spezia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Reggiana vs Spezia
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Serie B
Spezia vs Reggiana
0:1
Sep 30, 2025 Serie B
Reggiana vs Spezia
1:1
May 4, 2025 Serie B
Reggiana vs Spezia
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Serie B
Spezia vs Reggiana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reggiana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Spezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cazzadori D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reggiana 11 / 100
Spezia 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reggiana Spezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spezia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Reggiana scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Spezia conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Reggiana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Reggiana VS Spezia
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Reggiana

(Home)
04 Oct
Reggiana
0 : 1
Spezia
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0
Reggiana
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4
Reggiana
12 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Reggiana
Page 1 of 6

Spezia

(Away)
10 Oct
Spezia
2 : 0
Gubbio
04 Oct
Reggiana
0 : 1
Spezia
27 Sept
Pescara
1 : 2
Spezia
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1
Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3
Spezia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 9 8 1 0 17:4 25
2 Grosseto 9 5 3 1 17:9 18
3 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 13:4 17
4 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
5 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10:9 14
6 Perugia 8 4 1 3 9:12 13
7 Guidonia 1937 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
8 Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
9 Sassari Torres 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Forli FC 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
12 Ostiamare 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
13 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
15 Pianese 9 1 4 4 6:10 7
16 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
17 Gubbio 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
18 Latina 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11:14 5
20 Vis Pesaro 8 1 1 6 10:19 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)