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Reggina vs Akragas

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 Stadio Oreste Granillo, Reggio Calabria
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Barranco B.
81' Event
Urso F.

AI Match Summary

Reggina in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Reggina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Reggina
20%
Draws
7%
Akragas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Reggina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Akragas haven't matched Reggina's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Reggina's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Reggina Clean Sheet 68%
Akragas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reggina Akragas
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 20 2
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.32 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.55 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Akragas
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Reggina
0:0
Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Akragas
5:1
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Reggina
1:1
Apr 22, 2018 Serie C - Group C
Reggina vs Akragas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reggina Compare

Top Goalscorer Barranco B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urso F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Akragas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reggina 59 / 100
Akragas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reggina Akragas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reggina's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Akragas has conceded goals in 83% of their last 23 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Reggina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Reggina VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Reggina

(Home)
13 Aug
Reggina
1 : 2
Sanremese
17 May
Nissa
0 : 0
Reggina
10 May
Reggina
1 : 0
Athletic Palermo
03 May
Reggina
4 : 2
Sambiase
26 Apr
Milazzo
1 : 2
Reggina
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Akragas

(Away)
09 Mar
Reggina
2 : 0
Akragas
02 Mar
Akragas
0 : 0
AS Acireale
23 Feb
USD Ragusa
3 : 0
Akragas
16 Feb
Akragas
1 : 2
S. Agata
09 Feb
Scafatese
3 : 1
Akragas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)