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Reggina vs Licata Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I Stadio Oreste Granillo, Reggio Calabria
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Matheus Reis
32' Event
Rotulo R.
58' Event
Abonckelet M.

AI Match Summary

Reggina in this Serie D - Group I matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Reggina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Reggina
20%
Draws
28%
Licata
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Reggina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Reggina have won more games recently than Licata.
  • Reggina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Reggina here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Reggina Clean Sheet 20%
Licata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reggina Licata
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 25 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 1.7 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.39 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Licata
5:0
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Reggina
0:4
Oct 20, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Licata
1:0
Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Reggina
2:3
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Licata
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reggina Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Reis
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rotulo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Licata Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reggina 85 / 100
Licata 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reggina Licata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reggina scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Reggina has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Licata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Reggina VS Licata
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.17
50% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Reggina

(Home)
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0
Calcio Avola
13 Sept
ASD Modica Calcio
0 : 1
Reggina
06 Sept
Reggina
5 : 0
Licata
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Licata

(Away)
26 Sept
Enna
0 : 3
Licata
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1
Licata
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
06 Sept
Reggina
5 : 0
Licata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 5 5 0 0 15:0 15
2 Sambiase 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
3 Vibonese 5 3 1 1 13:5 10
4 Igea Virtus 5 3 1 1 13:10 10
5 Digiesse PraiaTortora 5 2 3 0 8:2 9
6 Calcio Avola 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
7 Licata 5 2 2 1 6:7 8
8 Athletic Palermo 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
9 Nissa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 Milazzo 5 2 0 3 4:8 6
11 Siracusa 5 3 2 0 8:4 4
12 Castrumfavara 5 1 1 3 5:5 4
13 ASD Modica Calcio 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Gela 5 1 1 3 4:6 3
15 USD Ragusa 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
16 Lamezia 5 0 2 3 5:13 2
17 Enna 5 0 1 4 0:12 1
18 Trapani 5 1 0 4 2:10 -2
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)