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Reggina vs Portici 1906

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Reggina play Portici 1906 in the Serie D - Group I 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Reggina averaged 1.35 goals scored and 0.68 conceded. Portici 1906 averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Reggina won 1, Portici 1906 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 31, 2024 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Reggina and 0.69 for Portici 1906. This points to a Reggina double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Reggina
23%
Draws
24%
Portici 1906
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Reggina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Reggina picked up more points recently compared to Portici 1906.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Reggina Clean Sheet 28%
Portici 1906 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reggina Portici 1906
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.35 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.55

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Portici 1906
2:2
Oct 4, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Portici 1906 vs Reggina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reggina Compare

Top Goalscorer Mungo D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Portici 1906 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zanoni E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orefice C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reggina 53 / 100
Portici 1906 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reggina Portici 1906

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Reggina & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Reggina attacking → ← attacking Portici 1906

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reggina scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Portici 1906 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Reggina went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Portici 1906 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 32
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00