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Stadium Background

Reggina vs Sambiase Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 Stadio Oreste Granillo, Reggio Calabria
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Fofana L.
20' Event
Mungo D.
53' Event
Kouame W.

AI Match Summary

Reggina in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Reggina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Reggina
15%
Draws
39%
Sambiase
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Reggina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Reggina lately — more wins on the board than Sambiase.
  • Win probability leans Reggina's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Reggina here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Reggina Clean Sheet 68%
Sambiase Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reggina Sambiase
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 23 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.16
Goals Conceded 0.44 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Sambiase
4:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Reggina
0:1
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Sambiase vs Reggina
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Reggina
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Sambiase
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reggina Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mungo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sambiase Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouame W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ortolini R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reggina 68 / 100
Sambiase 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reggina Sambiase

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reggina's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Reggina stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sambiase's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Reggina VS Sambiase
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Reggina

(Home)
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0
Calcio Avola
13 Sept
ASD Modica Calcio
0 : 1
Reggina
06 Sept
Reggina
5 : 0
Licata
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Sambiase

(Away)
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1
Sambiase
06 Sept
Sambiase
2 : 1
Gela
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)