Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Heiwado HATO Stadium

Gainare Tottori

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Reilac Shiga play Gainare Tottori in the J2/J3 League. Gainare Tottori are favorites here. Recently, Reilac Shiga averaged 0.96 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Gainare Tottori averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Reilac Shiga won 0, Gainare Tottori won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Reilac Shiga and 2.00 for Gainare Tottori. This points to a Gainare Tottori double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Reilac Shiga

15%

Draws

56%

Gainare Tottori

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gainare Tottori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Reilac Shiga picked up more points recently compared to Gainare Tottori.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 2.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 10%

Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Reilac Shiga	Gainare Tottori
Matches Played	26	30
Wins	9	17
Draws	1	0
Losses	16	13
Goals Scored	0.96	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.69	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 J2/J3 League

Gainare Tottori vs Reilac Shiga

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

3:2

Apr 29, 2026 J2/J3 League

Reilac Shiga vs Gainare Tottori

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reilac Shiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Gainare Tottori Compare

Top Goalscorer Shinoda D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Takayanagi F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reilac Shiga 28 / 100

Gainare Tottori 53 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Reilac Shiga Gainare Tottori

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gainare Tottori Win (2)

Secondary Pick Gainare Tottori & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Reilac Shiga attacking → ← attacking Gainare Tottori

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reilac Shiga scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Gainare Tottori let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Reilac Shiga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gainare Tottori lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 51

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15