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Reilac Shiga vs Kumamoto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Heiwado HATO Stadium, Hikone
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Nasu K.
33'
Romero F.
46'
Sub
Romero F. In: Kubo E.
Out: Romero F.

AI Match Summary

The J3 League game between Reilac Shiga and Kumamoto finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Reilac Shiga
30%
Draws
47%
Kumamoto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kumamoto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Reilac Shiga come out ahead of Kumamoto on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 16%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reilac Shiga Kumamoto
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 1 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 J3 League
Reilac Shiga vs Kumamoto
0:0
May 3, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kumamoto vs Reilac Shiga
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 J2/J3 League
Reilac Shiga vs Kumamoto
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reilac Shiga 36 / 100
Kumamoto 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reilac Shiga Kumamoto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kumamoto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reilac Shiga found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Kumamoto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Reilac Shiga stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Reilac Shiga VS Kumamoto
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Reilac Shiga

(Home)
02 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 0
Kumamoto
26 Sept
Nara Club
4 : 1
Reilac Shiga
20 Sept
Reilac Shiga
3 : 0
Ryukyu
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2
Kagoshima United
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Verdy
Page 1 of 6

Kumamoto

(Away)
02 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 0
Kumamoto
29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1
Kumamoto
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2
Kumamoto
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
4 Nara Club 9 5 2 2 19:16 17
5 FC Osaka 9 4 4 1 17:8 16
6 SC Sagamihara 9 4 3 2 15:10 15
7 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
8 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
9 Kanazawa 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Reilac Shiga 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
11 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
12 Nagano Parceiro 9 3 2 4 11:13 11
13 Ryukyu 9 3 2 4 10:12 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 9 2 4 3 12:16 10
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
17 Fukushima United 9 2 1 6 18:23 7
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 9 2 0 7 8:18 6
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 9 1 2 6 10:17 5
20 Kochi United 9 1 2 6 3:20 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)