Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Reilac Shiga vs Ryukyu

Japan Japan

J3 League Heiwado HATO Stadium, Hikone
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Nishiyama T.
Assist: Koizumi R.
46'
Sub
Romero F. In: Kubo E.
Out: Romero F.
55' Event
Hino T.
Assist: Nakamura K.

AI Match Summary

The J3 League game between Reilac Shiga and Ryukyu finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Reilac Shiga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Reilac Shiga
15%
Draws
42%
Ryukyu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Reilac Shiga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Reilac Shiga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Reilac Shiga a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Reilac Shiga have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 12%
Ryukyu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reilac Shiga Ryukyu
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 0 1
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 J3 League
Reilac Shiga vs Ryukyu
3:0
Apr 12, 2026 J2/J3 League
Reilac Shiga vs Ryukyu
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 J2/J3 League
Ryukyu vs Reilac Shiga
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reilac Shiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Nishiyama T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hino T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ryukyu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reilac Shiga 56 / 100
Ryukyu 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reilac Shiga Ryukyu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reilac Shiga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ryukyu has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Reilac Shiga found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Ryukyu's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Reilac Shiga VS Ryukyu
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Reilac Shiga

(Home)
20 Sept
Reilac Shiga
3 : 0
Ryukyu
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2
Kagoshima United
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Verdy
05 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 3
Reilac Shiga
30 Aug
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Gainare Tottori
Page 1 of 6

Ryukyu

(Away)
20 Sept
Reilac Shiga
3 : 0
Ryukyu
13 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 0
Kamatamare Sanuki
09 Sept
Ryukyu
3 : 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
05 Sept
Kagoshima United
2 : 1
Ryukyu
02 Sept
Ryukyu
2 : 3
Yokohama FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 8 6 2 0 16:8 20
2 Ehime 8 5 2 1 19:9 17
3 FC Osaka 8 4 4 0 17:7 16
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 8 4 2 2 11:7 14
5 Nara Club 8 4 2 2 18:16 14
6 Gifu 8 4 1 3 19:8 13
7 Kumamoto 8 3 4 1 7:4 13
8 SC Sagamihara 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
9 Reilac Shiga 8 4 0 4 14:14 12
10 Ryukyu 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
11 Nagano Parceiro 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
12 Kanazawa 8 3 1 4 14:13 10
13 Gainare Tottori 8 3 1 4 11:18 10
14 Tochigi SC 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
15 Matsumoto Yamaga 8 1 5 2 8:10 8
16 Fukushima United 8 2 1 5 16:20 7
17 Giravanz Kitakyushu 8 1 4 3 10:16 7
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 8 2 0 6 7:15 6
19 Kochi United 8 1 2 5 3:18 5
20 Kamatamare Sanuki 8 1 1 6 10:17 4
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)