Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Heiwado HATO Stadium

Reilac Shiga

0 - 2

Sagan Tosu

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Hino T.

20'

Nishiyama T.

29'

Shiohama R.

Assist: Nishizawa K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Reilac Shiga and Sagan Tosu finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sagan Tosu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Reilac Shiga

30%

Draws

34%

Sagan Tosu

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Reilac Shiga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Sagan Tosu carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Reilac Shiga a 36% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 10%

Sagan Tosu Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Reilac Shiga	Sagan Tosu
Matches Played	26	30
Wins	9	15
Draws	1	3
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	0.75	1.88
Goals Conceded	2.13	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 J2/J3 League

Sagan Tosu vs Reilac Shiga

Possession: 53% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Mar 22, 2026 J2/J3 League

Reilac Shiga vs Sagan Tosu

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reilac Shiga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Sagan Tosu Compare

Top Goalscorer Shiohama R.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reilac Shiga 34 / 100

Sagan Tosu 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Reilac Shiga Sagan Tosu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reilac Shiga's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Sagan Tosu let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Reilac Shiga remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Reilac Shiga VS Sagan Tosu

0.75 Goals Scored 1.88

2.13 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15