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Reilac Shiga vs SC Sagamihara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Heiwado HATO Stadium, Hikone
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Reilac Shiga host SC Sagamihara in the J3 League. This one's hard to separate. SC Sagamihara have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Reilac Shiga have conceded 1.53 and scored 1.1. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.25, favoring SC Sagamihara. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Reilac Shiga
30%
Draws
47%
SC Sagamihara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Sagamihara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Sagamihara lately — more wins on the board than Reilac Shiga.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 19%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reilac Shiga SC Sagamihara
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 1 3
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reilac Shiga 32 / 100
SC Sagamihara 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reilac Shiga SC Sagamihara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Sagamihara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reilac Shiga scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

SC Sagamihara let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Reilac Shiga went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: SC Sagamihara has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Reilac Shiga VS SC Sagamihara
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Reilac Shiga

(Home)
02 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 0
Kumamoto
26 Sept
Nara Club
4 : 1
Reilac Shiga
20 Sept
Reilac Shiga
3 : 0
Ryukyu
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2
Kagoshima United
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Verdy
Page 1 of 6

SC Sagamihara

(Away)
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0
FC Osaka
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2
SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3
SC Sagamihara
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
4 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
6 Nara Club 9 5 2 2 19:16 17
7 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
8 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
9 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
10 Reilac Shiga 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
11 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
12 Nagano Parceiro 9 3 2 4 11:13 11
13 Ryukyu 9 3 2 4 10:12 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 9 2 4 3 12:16 10
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
17 Fukushima United 9 2 1 6 18:23 7
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 9 2 0 7 8:18 6
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 9 1 2 6 3:20 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)