Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Reilac Shiga vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Heiwado HATO Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

59'
Sub
Okuda H. In: Hino T.
Out: Okuda H.
59'
Sub
Kubota K. In: Watanabe R.
Out: Kubota K.
69'
Sub
Kinoshita R. In: Miyake K.
Out: Kinoshita R.

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Reilac Shiga and Tegevajaro Miyazaki finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Reilac Shiga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Reilac Shiga
20%
Draws
38%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Reilac Shiga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tegevajaro Miyazaki come out ahead of Reilac Shiga on wins alone.
  • Model gives Reilac Shiga a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 12%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reilac Shiga Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 9 22
Draws 1 2
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Reilac Shiga
2:3
Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League
Reilac Shiga vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reilac Shiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Miyake K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reilac Shiga 40 / 100
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reilac Shiga Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reilac Shiga found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (26 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Reilac Shiga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Reilac Shiga VS Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai18160237:1543
2Blaublitz18110723:1635
3Shonan Bellmare18110728:2031
4Yokohama FC18100836:2829
5SC Sagamihara1890933:3628
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18701127:3923
7Montedio Yamagata18801022:2522
8Tochigi City18701122:3521
9Vanraure17501216:2318
10Tochigi SC17501224:3117
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kofu17110620:1233
2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo18110728:2231
3Iwaki18110726:2031
4Omiya Ardija18100839:2930
5Fujieda MYFC1890924:2330
6Gifu1790823:2527
7Matsumoto Yamaga18801033:2526
8Iwata1890920:2525
9Fukushima United18601230:4318
10Nagano Parceiro18501317:3616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toyama18130540:2638
2Albirex Niigata18120624:1935
3Tokushima18110738:2332
4Kochi United18100825:2330
5Ehime1890926:2028
6Kanazawa18100820:2327
7Nara Club18701127:3621
8FC Osaka18601218:2320
9Imabari18601215:2120
10Kamatamare Sanuki18601215:3419
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki18150335:1347
2Kagoshima United18120627:1633
3Sagan Tosu18100826:1832
4Renofa Yamaguchi18100827:2429
5Kumamoto1890921:2127
6Gainare Tottori18100824:2527
7Oita Trinita18701119:2022
8Reilac Shiga18701116:2921
9Ryukyu18601217:2817
10Giravanz Kitakyushu18401417:3515