Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Reilac Shiga vs Verdy

Japan Japan

J.League Cup Heiwado HATO Stadium, Hikone
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Shibato K.
33'
Kanda S.
34'
Kubo E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Reilac Shiga
15%
Draws
46%
Verdy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Verdy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Verdy's 1.14 goals per match outpaces what Reilac Shiga have produced (1.03).
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Reilac Shiga taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Verdy, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 17%
Verdy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reilac Shiga Verdy
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 1 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 J.League Cup
Reilac Shiga vs Verdy
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reilac Shiga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Verdy Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Hyun-woo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reilac Shiga 48 / 100
Verdy 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reilac Shiga Verdy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reilac Shiga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reilac Shiga's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Verdy has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Solid form: Reilac Shiga remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Reilac Shiga VS Verdy
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Reilac Shiga

(Home)
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Verdy
05 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 3
Reilac Shiga
30 Aug
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Gainare Tottori
26 Aug
Gamba Osaka
2 : 0
Reilac Shiga
22 Aug
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 : 3
Reilac Shiga
Page 1 of 6

Verdy

(Away)
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Verdy
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0
Verdy
02 Sept
Verdy
0 : 2
Vissel Kobe
29 Aug
Verdy
0 : 2
Kashima Antlers
26 Aug
Verdy
4 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Tochigi City -
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Albirex Niigata -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Kanazawa -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Montedio Yamagata -
Urawa Reds -
Toyama -
Yokohama FC -
Gifu -
Okayama -
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
Nagoya Grampus -
Giravanz Kitakyushu -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Kumamoto -
Chiba -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
FC Osaka -
Verdy -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Fujieda MYFC -
V-Varen Nagasaki -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Ehime -
Mito -
Fukushima United -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
Gamba Osaka -
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -