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Reilac Shiga vs Verdy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J.League Cup Heiwado HATO Stadium, Hikone
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Shibato K.
33'
Kanda S.
34'
Kubo E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Reilac Shiga
15%
Draws
59%
Verdy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Verdy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Reilac Shiga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Verdy taking it.
  • Reilac Shiga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Verdy, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 14%
Verdy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reilac Shiga Verdy
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 J.League Cup
Reilac Shiga vs Verdy
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reilac Shiga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Verdy Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Hyun-woo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reilac Shiga 27 / 100
Verdy 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reilac Shiga Verdy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Verdy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reilac Shiga's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Verdy has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Solid form: Reilac Shiga remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Reilac Shiga VS Verdy
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Reilac Shiga

(Home)
03 Nov
Giravanz Kitakyushu
0 : 1
Reilac Shiga
31 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
3 : 1
Reilac Shiga
25 Oct
Reilac Shiga
1 : 5
Kanazawa
21 Oct
Tochigi SC
1 : 0
Reilac Shiga
18 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 2
SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6

Verdy

(Away)
01 Nov
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 2
Verdy
24 Oct
Verdy
3 : 1
Avispa Fukuoka
21 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 2
Verdy
17 Oct
Verdy
0 : 4
FC Tokyo
11 Oct
Verdy
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
Matsumoto Yamaga 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Urawa Reds 4
Yokohama FC 0
Okayama 3
Nagoya Grampus 4
Kawasaki Frontale 4
Iwata 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 0
Mito 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3
Yokohama F. Marinos 4
Urawa Reds 2
Nagoya Grampus 1
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Sagan Tosu 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Mito 1
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -