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Reims W vs Le Mans W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Louis Bleriot, Betheny
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Chapelle K.
90' Event
Guermazi S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Reims W and Le Mans W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Le Mans W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Reims W
20%
Draws
47%
Le Mans W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Le Mans W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Reims W Clean Sheet 17%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reims W Le Mans W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Reims W vs Le Mans W
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Reims W
3:0
Apr 29, 2018 Seconde Ligue Women
Reims W vs Le Mans W
4:2
Nov 19, 2017 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Reims W
0:2
Feb 12, 2017 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Reims W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reims W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Le Mans W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chapelle K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reims W 31 / 100
Le Mans W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reims W Le Mans W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Reims W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Reims W found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Le Mans W conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Reims W VS Le Mans W
1.33 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Reims W

(Home)
24 May
Reims W
3 : 1
Lille W
17 May
Rodez AF W
0 : 0
Reims W
02 May
Reims W
0 : 2
Thonon Evian W
25 Apr
Reims W
4 : 1
Metz W
04 Apr
Saint-Malo W
2 : 1
Reims W
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Le Mans W

(Away)
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0
Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
12 Aug
Saint-Malo W
0 : 1
Le Mans W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)