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Reims W vs Thonon Evian W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Louis Bleriot, Betheny
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Palma M.
53' Event
Zemzem S.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Reims W and Thonon Evian W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thonon Evian W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Reims W
20%
Draws
40%
Thonon Evian W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Thonon Evian W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Reims W taking it.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Reims W Clean Sheet 14%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reims W Thonon Evian W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Reims W vs Thonon Evian W
0:2
Jan 18, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Reims W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reims W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

Thonon Evian W Compare

Top Goalscorer Palma M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zemzem S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reims W 75 / 100
Thonon Evian W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reims W Thonon Evian W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reims W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thonon Evian W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Reims W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Reims W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Reims W VS Thonon Evian W
1.43 Goals Scored 2.13
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.88
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Reims W

(Home)
24 May
Reims W
3 : 1
Lille W
17 May
Rodez AF W
0 : 0
Reims W
02 May
Reims W
0 : 2
Thonon Evian W
25 Apr
Reims W
4 : 1
Metz W
04 Apr
Saint-Malo W
2 : 1
Reims W
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Thonon Evian W

(Away)
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
22 Aug
Cannes W
4 : 5
Thonon Evian W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)