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Renaissance Mons vs OC Charleroi Prediction & H2H Stats

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
De Belder D.
48' Event
De Belder D.
52' Event
Brogno L.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - ACFF game between Renaissance Mons and OC Charleroi finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renaissance Mons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Renaissance Mons
20%
Draws
23%
OC Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Renaissance Mons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Renaissance Mons carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Renaissance Mons Clean Sheet 68%
OC Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renaissance Mons OC Charleroi
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 13 3
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.66 1.04
Goals Conceded 1 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Renaissance Mons vs OC Charleroi
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Renaissance Mons vs OC Charleroi
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
OC Charleroi vs Renaissance Mons
2:0
Jan 18, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
OC Charleroi vs Renaissance Mons
0:0
Oct 12, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
Renaissance Mons vs OC Charleroi
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renaissance Mons Compare

Top Goalscorer De Belder D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Brogno L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

OC Charleroi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renaissance Mons 41 / 100
OC Charleroi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renaissance Mons OC Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renaissance Mons Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OC Charleroi has conceded goals in 96% of their last 26 outings.

Renaissance Mons's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Renaissance Mons went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Renaissance Mons VS OC Charleroi
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Renaissance Mons

(Home)
26 Sept
Londerzeel
0 : 4
Renaissance Mons
20 Sept
Onhaye
2 : 5
Renaissance Mons
12 Sept
Renaissance Mons
2 : 2
Tubize-Braine
05 Sept
Renaissance Mons
3 : 0
OC Charleroi
30 Aug
Charleroi B
1 : 0
Renaissance Mons
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OC Charleroi

(Away)
26 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 2
Habay La Neuve
19 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 3
Tubize-Braine
12 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 1
St. Gilloise 2
05 Sept
Renaissance Mons
3 : 0
OC Charleroi
30 Aug
Onhaye
0 : 2
OC Charleroi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Meux 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
2 RWDM Brussels 5 5 0 0 8:1 15
3 Tubize-Braine 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
4 Union Rochefortoise 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
5 St. Gilloise 2 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
6 Renaissance Mons 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
7 Onhaye 6 2 0 4 7:12 6
8 Charleroi B 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
9 St. Liege U23 5 1 1 3 5:3 4
10 Habay La Neuve 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
11 OC Charleroi 5 1 1 3 4:12 4
12 Flenu 5 0 1 4 5:13 1
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF (Promotion Group)
Relegation - National Division 1 - ACFF (Relegation Group)