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Renaissance Mons vs St. Liege U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Renaissance Mons host St. Liege U23 in the National Division 1 - ACFF. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. St. Liege U23 have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Renaissance Mons have conceded 1 and scored 1.77. Past meetings favor Renaissance Mons slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 7, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.38, favoring Renaissance Mons. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Renaissance Mons
15%
Draws
48%
St. Liege U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Liege U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Renaissance Mons come out ahead of St. Liege U23 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Renaissance Mons have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Renaissance Mons Clean Sheet 17%
St. Liege U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renaissance Mons St. Liege U23
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.77 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Renaissance Mons
3:2
Nov 16, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Renaissance Mons
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Renaissance Mons vs St. Liege U23
5:1
Nov 30, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
Renaissance Mons vs St. Liege U23
3:1
Oct 19, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Renaissance Mons
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renaissance Mons 30 / 100
St. Liege U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renaissance Mons St. Liege U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renaissance Mons Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Renaissance Mons scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

St. Liege U23 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Renaissance Mons remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Renaissance Mons VS St. Liege U23
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Renaissance Mons

(Home)
21 Oct
Renaissance Mons
2 : 0
Union Rochefortoise
17 Oct
Renaissance Mons
0 : 1
Charleroi
11 Oct
Habay La Neuve
2 : 2
Renaissance Mons
07 Oct
St. Liege U23
3 : 2
Renaissance Mons
03 Oct
Renaissance Mons
4 : 0
Flenu
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St. Liege U23

(Away)
18 Oct
St. Liege U23
1 : 0
Flenu
11 Oct
St. Liege U23
4 : 1
Onhaye
07 Oct
St. Liege U23
3 : 2
Renaissance Mons
03 Oct
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
19 Sept
St. Gilloise 2
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Meux 9 6 1 2 16:8 19
2 RWDM Brussels 9 6 1 2 14:10 19
3 Union Rochefortoise 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
4 St. Gilloise 2 9 5 2 2 17:10 17
5 Renaissance Mons 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
6 Tubize-Braine 9 4 2 3 11:11 14
7 St. Liege U23 9 4 1 4 13:7 13
8 OC Charleroi 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
9 Charleroi B 9 2 4 3 9:10 10
10 Onhaye 8 2 0 6 10:20 6
11 Habay La Neuve 8 1 3 4 7:12 6
12 Flenu 9 0 1 8 10:27 1
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF (Promotion Group)
Relegation - National Division 1 - ACFF (Relegation Group)