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Renaissance Mons vs Union Rochefortoise Prediction & H2H Stats

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
De Belder D.
34' Event
dos Santos G.
51' Event
Bentayeb Y.

AI Match Summary

Renaissance Mons in this National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Renaissance Mons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Renaissance Mons
30%
Draws
27%
Union Rochefortoise
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Renaissance Mons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Union Rochefortoise at 1.79 per game, Renaissance Mons at 1.74.
  • Renaissance Mons are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Renaissance Mons Clean Sheet 68%
Union Rochefortoise Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renaissance Mons Union Rochefortoise
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.74 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs Renaissance Mons
1:3
Feb 28, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Renaissance Mons vs Union Rochefortoise
3:0
Feb 8, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs Renaissance Mons
3:1
Aug 30, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Renaissance Mons vs Union Rochefortoise
5:0
May 4, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs Renaissance Mons
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renaissance Mons Compare

Top Goalscorer De Belder D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader dos Santos G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Union Rochefortoise Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renaissance Mons 95 / 100
Union Rochefortoise 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renaissance Mons Union Rochefortoise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renaissance Mons Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Renaissance Mons has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Renaissance Mons scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Union Rochefortoise's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Renaissance Mons VS Union Rochefortoise
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Renaissance Mons

(Home)
03 Oct
Renaissance Mons
4 : 0
Flenu
26 Sept
Londerzeel
0 : 4
Renaissance Mons
20 Sept
Onhaye
2 : 5
Renaissance Mons
12 Sept
Renaissance Mons
2 : 2
Tubize-Braine
05 Sept
Renaissance Mons
3 : 0
OC Charleroi
Page 1 of 6

Union Rochefortoise

(Away)
03 Oct
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
30 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 1
Union Rochefortoise
27 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 2
Lierse SK
19 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 1
Charleroi B
12 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 2
Onhaye
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virton 10 7 0 3 18:13 45
2 Renaissance Mons 10 6 3 1 19:8 43
3 Tubize-Braine 10 4 4 2 13:11 40
4 Meux 10 4 1 5 15:16 31
5 Habay La Neuve 10 3 1 6 9:15 28
6 Union Rochefortoise 10 1 1 8 12:23 20
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