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Renaissance vs AS Garde Nationale

Niger Niger

Super Ligue 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Renaissance
30%
Draws
62%
AS Garde Nationale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Garde Nationale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Garde Nationale lately — more wins on the board than Renaissance.
  • Win probability leans AS Garde Nationale's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Renaissance Clean Sheet 16%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renaissance AS Garde Nationale
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 8 12
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.77 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Renaissance
2:0
Jan 16, 2026 Super Ligue
Renaissance vs AS Garde Nationale
0:0
May 8, 2025 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Renaissance
1:1
Jan 11, 2025 Super Ligue
Renaissance vs AS Garde Nationale
2:2
Jul 6, 2024 Super Ligue
Renaissance vs AS Garde Nationale
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renaissance 10 / 100
AS Garde Nationale 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renaissance AS Garde Nationale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Garde Nationale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Renaissance scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

AS Garde Nationale has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Renaissance has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Renaissance VS AS Garde Nationale
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Renaissance

(Home)
19 Jun
Sahel
2 : 1
Renaissance
09 Jun
Liberte
2 : 2
Renaissance
05 Jun
Renaissance
1 : 4
Olympic Niamey
01 Jun
Urana
1 : 0
Renaissance
22 May
Renaissance
0 : 3
US Gendarmerie
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AS Garde Nationale

(Away)
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
11 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 0
Tagour
06 Sept
JS Tahoua
0 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
19 Jun
AS Garde Nationale
1 : 1
Police
08 Jun
Espoir
0 : 2
AS Garde Nationale
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)