Sport Picks
Renate vs Cittadella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A Mino Favini, Meda 
Match Events
22'
22'
Falcinelli D.
Penalty Missed
43'
43'
Paolucci L.
Assist: Falcinelli D.
45'
45'
Ekuban J.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A game between Renate and Cittadella finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cittadella.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cittadella
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Cittadella carry the better recent record into this one.
- Renate are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Cittadella have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Renate Clean Sheet 16%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Renate | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 19 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Cittadella vs Renate
4:1
Aug 31, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Cittadella
0:1
Feb 16, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Renate
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Cittadella
0:0
Jan 30, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Renate
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Renate Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Cittadella Compare
Top Goalscorer Paolucci L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Renate 41 / 100
Cittadella 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Renate Cittadella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Renate found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Cittadella conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Renate stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Renate VS Cittadella
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Renate
(Home) 01 Nov
Carpi
0 : 5 Renate
25 Oct
Renate
0 : 0 AlbinoLeffe
19 Oct
Juventus U23
2 : 1 Renate
11 Oct
Renate
2 : 2 Giana Erminio
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1 Renate
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Renate
0 : 0 AlbinoLeffe
11 Oct
Renate
2 : 2 Giana Erminio
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1 Treviso
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0 Dolomiti Bellunesi
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2 Novara
Page 1 of 3
Cittadella
(Away) 01 Nov
Cittadella
1 : 0 Treviso
28 Oct
Union Brescia
1 : 2 Cittadella
24 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 1 Cittadella
19 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 0 Arzignano
10 Oct
Novara
0 : 2 Cittadella
Page 1 of 6
28 Oct
Union Brescia
1 : 2 Cittadella
24 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 1 Cittadella
10 Oct
Novara
0 : 2 Cittadella
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1 Cittadella
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 19:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Trento | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17:6 | 24 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 5 | Ospitaletto | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Treviso | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 21:18 | 18 |
| 8 | Lecco | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:11 | 17 |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:17 | 17 |
| 10 | Pergolettese | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 11 | Lumezzane | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Desenzano Calvina | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 13 | Novara | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Carpi | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Giana Erminio | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 17 | Juventus U23 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 18 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8:18 | 10 |
| 19 | Renate | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14:16 | 8 |
| 20 | Folgore Caratese | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
