Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Renate vs Desenzano Calvina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Mino Favini, Meda
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Renate host Desenzano Calvina in the Serie C - Group A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Renate at 1.52 goals for, 1.34 against; Desenzano Calvina at 1.07 for, 0.72 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.06) point toward Desenzano Calvina. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Renate
30%
Draws
35%
Desenzano Calvina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Renate haven't matched Desenzano Calvina's recent run of results.
  • Renate are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Renate Clean Sheet 20%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renate Desenzano Calvina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renate 76 / 100
Desenzano Calvina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renate Desenzano Calvina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renate's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Renate stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Desenzano Calvina registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Desenzano Calvina conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Renate VS Desenzano Calvina
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Renate

(Home)
01 Nov
Carpi
0 : 5
Renate
25 Oct
Renate
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
19 Oct
Juventus U23
2 : 1
Renate
11 Oct
Renate
2 : 2
Giana Erminio
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1
Renate
Page 1 of 6

Desenzano Calvina

(Away)
02 Nov
Novara
1 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
28 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
25 Oct
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 2
Giana Erminio
18 Oct
Alcione Milano
4 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
10 Oct
Desenzano Calvina
2 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 12 10 0 2 19:6 30
2 Union Brescia 12 7 4 1 23:9 25
3 Trento 12 6 6 0 17:6 24
4 Arzignano 12 6 3 3 17:12 21
5 Ospitaletto 12 5 4 3 18:11 19
6 Treviso 12 5 4 3 12:9 19
7 Alcione Milano 12 4 6 2 21:18 18
8 Lecco 12 4 5 3 18:11 17
9 AlbinoLeffe 12 4 5 3 19:17 17
10 Pergolettese 12 4 5 3 12:12 17
11 Lumezzane 12 3 4 5 13:17 13
12 Desenzano Calvina 12 3 4 5 10:14 13
13 Novara 12 3 4 5 11:16 13
14 Pro Vercelli 12 3 4 5 11:20 13
15 Carpi 12 3 3 6 16:26 12
16 Giana Erminio 12 2 5 5 13:17 11
17 Juventus U23 12 2 5 5 12:19 11
18 Dolomiti Bellunesi 12 2 4 6 8:18 10
19 Renate 12 1 5 6 14:16 8
20 Folgore Caratese 12 1 4 7 11:21 7
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)