Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Renate vs Inter U23

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Mino Favini, Meda
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bonetti A.
47'
Iddrissou J.
48'
Cali M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Renate and Inter U23 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Renate
15%
Draws
31%
Inter U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Renate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter U23 haven't matched Renate's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Renate have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Renate Clean Sheet 68%
Inter U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renate Inter U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.72 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Inter U23
2:1
Nov 26, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Inter U23 vs Renate
2:3
Oct 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Inter U23 vs Renate
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renate Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonetti A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ekuban J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Inter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Berenbruch T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renate 41 / 100
Inter U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renate Inter U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renate's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Inter U23 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Renate has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Renate VS Inter U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Renate

(Home)
15 Aug
Lumezzane
2 : 3
Renate
08 Aug
Renate
2 : 0
Varese FC
13 May
Renate
0 : 3
Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2
Renate
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1
Pro Patria
Page 1 of 6

Inter U23

(Away)
14 Aug
Vado
2 : 1
Inter U23
09 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Inter U23
05 Aug
Lecco
0 : 3
Inter U23
02 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Inter U23
26 Jul
Novara
2 : 1
Inter U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)