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Renate vs Lumezzane

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Mino Favini, Meda
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Stivanello R.
38'
Gardoni P.
46'
Sub
Rocca M. In: Iori M.
Out: Rocca M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Renate and Lumezzane finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Renate
35%
Draws
46%
Lumezzane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lumezzane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Renate carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Renate taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Renate Clean Sheet 18%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renate Lumezzane
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Renate
2:2
Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Lumezzane vs Renate
2:3
Mar 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Lumezzane
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Renate
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Renate
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renate 36 / 100
Lumezzane 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renate Lumezzane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Renate scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Lumezzane has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Renate went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Renate VS Lumezzane
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Renate

(Home)
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2
Novara
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1
Renate
Page 1 of 6

Lumezzane

(Away)
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Lumezzane
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1
Lumezzane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)