Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Lorenzini F.
46'
46'
Sub
Nichetti M. In: Romano M.
Out: Nichetti M.
46'
46'
Sub
Lanini E. In: Zuppel D.
Out: Lanini E.
AI Match Summary
Novara in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novara.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Renate lately — more wins on the board than Novara.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Novara taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Renate Clean Sheet 15%
Novara Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Renate | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Novara
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Novara
3:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Renate
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Renate
1:0
Oct 11, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Novara
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Renate Compare
Top Goalscorer Auriletto S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Novara Compare
Top Goalscorer Cannavaro A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zuppel D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Renate 23 / 100
Novara 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Renate Novara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Novara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Renate scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Novara conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Renate remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Renate VS Novara
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Renate
(Home) 07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2 Novara
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1 Renate
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1 Cittadella
21 Aug
Alcione Milano
3 : 1 Renate
15 Aug
Lumezzane
2 : 3 Renate
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2 Novara
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1 Cittadella
08 Aug
Renate
2 : 0 Varese FC
13 May
Renate
0 : 3 Casarano
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1 Pro Patria
Page 1 of 3
Novara
(Away) 07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2 Novara
03 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Livorno
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
22 Aug
Juventus U23
1 : 0 Novara
16 Aug
Alcione Milano
0 : 1 Novara
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2 Novara
22 Aug
Juventus U23
1 : 0 Novara
16 Aug
Alcione Milano
0 : 1 Novara
05 Aug
Entella
2 : 1 Novara
01 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2 Novara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Trento | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 7 | Juventus U23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 8 | Carpi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 9 | Novara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 10 | AlbinoLeffe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 11 | Treviso | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 13 | Arzignano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 15 | Desenzano Calvina | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 16 | Folgore Caratese | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 17 | Lecco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | 1 |
| 18 | Pergolettese | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 20 | Renate | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
