Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Cali M.
31'
31'
Tunjov G.
32'
32'
Vesentini F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Renate and Pro Patria finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pro Patria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Renate come out ahead of Pro Patria on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Pro Patria's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Renate have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Renate Clean Sheet 14%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Renate | Pro Patria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Pro Patria
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Renate
0:3
Dec 21, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Pro Patria
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Renate
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Renate
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Renate Compare
Top Goalscorer Vesentini F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Delcarro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Pro Patria Compare
Top Goalscorer Tunjov G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Renate 10 / 100
Pro Patria 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Renate Pro Patria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pro Patria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Renate scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Pro Patria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Renate stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Renate VS Pro Patria
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Renate
(Home) 07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2 Novara
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1 Renate
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1 Cittadella
21 Aug
Alcione Milano
3 : 1 Renate
15 Aug
Lumezzane
2 : 3 Renate
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2 Novara
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1 Cittadella
08 Aug
Renate
2 : 0 Varese FC
13 May
Renate
0 : 3 Casarano
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1 Pro Patria
Page 1 of 3
Pro Patria
(Away) 12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Oltrepo
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1 Gozzano
09 Aug
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Imperia Calcio
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1 Pro Patria
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1 Pro Patria
13 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
2 : 4 Pro Patria
28 Mar
Pergolettese
2 : 1 Pro Patria
15 Mar
Lumezzane
1 : 0 Pro Patria
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
