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Renate vs Pro Vercelli

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Mino Favini, Meda
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Karlsson O.
17'
Comi G.
28'
Delcarro A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Renate and Pro Vercelli finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Renate
15%
Draws
36%
Pro Vercelli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Renate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Renate carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Renate are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Renate here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Renate Clean Sheet 68%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Renate Pro Vercelli
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.72 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Pro Vercelli
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Renate
1:1
Apr 25, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Renate
1:2
Dec 13, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Pro Vercelli
1:0
Jan 13, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Renate
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Renate Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlsson O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Pro Vercelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Renate 77 / 100
Pro Vercelli 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Renate Pro Vercelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Renate scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Pro Vercelli has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Renate remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Renate VS Pro Vercelli
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Renate

(Home)
15 Aug
Lumezzane
2 : 3
Renate
08 Aug
Renate
2 : 0
Varese FC
13 May
Renate
0 : 3
Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2
Renate
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1
Pro Patria
Page 1 of 6

Pro Vercelli

(Away)
14 Aug
Pro Vercelli
2 : 1
Pergolettese
26 Jul
Pisa
0 : 1
Pro Vercelli
18 Jul
Monza
4 : 3
Pro Vercelli
25 Apr
Arzignano
3 : 0
Pro Vercelli
19 Apr
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)